When Dream Nut Flush turned into a $1,301,000 Nightmare by Kelly's sadness

 

Pre-Flop

• Kelly: 3♥ 2♥ — low suited connectors, potential for straight/flush.

• Aaron: K♥ J♥ — strong suited Broadway cards, good flush potential.

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Flop: 5♥ 4♥ 9♣

• Kelly: Has a flush draw and open-ended straight draw (needs an A or 6).

• Aaron: Has a flush draw as well, and currently has two overcards.

So at this point:

• Aaron is ahead in terms of hand strength, with two high cards and a better flush if it lands.

• Kelly is drawing to a straight or a small flush.

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Turn: A♥

• Board now: 5♥ 4♥ 9♣ A♥

Now things flip dramatically:

• Kelly hits a straight flush: A♥ 5♥ 4♥ 3♥ 2♥ — unbeatable unless a higher straight flush is possible (which it isn’t here).

• Aaron hits the nut flush with K♥ — the best possible normal flush.

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Analysis

• Kelly wins 100% — she has the straight flush, the second-best hand possible in all of poker.

• Aaron loses 0% equity — despite having the nut flush, he's drawing dead on the turn. There is no card on the river that can save him.

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Psychological Note

This is one of those brutal poker scenarios where:

• The nut flush loses to a straight flush.

• The losing player (Aaron) probably feels confident with the K-high flush.

• The winning player (Kelly) might be holding back emotions to not give away her monster hand — hence the "sad face" meme.

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