Hand Setup (Pre-Flop)
Players and Hands:
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Fishman (Small Blind): A♦ A♣
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Laak: 6♥ 6♣
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Mercier: 4♥ 4♣
Action:
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Laak raises to $2,000
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Mercier calls
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Fishman folds pocket Aces (AA)
Pot after this action: $5,200
Fishman folds the best starting hand in No-Limit Hold'em pre-flop, without seeing the board.
📋 Board Runout
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Flop: 6♦ K♥ 6♠
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Turn: J♠
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River: 2♥
Final Hands:
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Laak: Quads (Four of a Kind, Sixes)
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Mercier: Two pair (Sixes and Fours)
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Fishman (if he had stayed): Aces over Sixes — beaten badly
💡 Analysis of the Decision
📉 From a Pure Math/EV Standpoint
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Folding AA pre-flop is almost never correct in traditional hand ranges or standard play. Against two players, pocket Aces are a huge favorite (over 75% equity).
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Fishman's fold, on paper, looks like a massive blunder. But...
🧠 Psychological & Meta-Level Thinking
What makes this fold legendary is that it was:
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Done pre-flop, with no information from the board
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Correct in hindsight, as he would have lost massively
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Likely influenced by a deep read on his opponents or a specific live tell — especially knowing Laak's loose-aggressive style and that a re-raise could induce more action.
Fishman may have:
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Suspected a set-over-set trap, or
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Felt he was up against hands that would stack him if he hit top pair only
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Or had an intuition based on body language or betting rhythm
🗣️ Commentary on Fishman’s AA Fold
"Folding pocket Aces pre-flop is usually a sin. But doing it, and being right — that's next-level. Fishman made what looked like an insane fold... and it turned out to be genius. This wasn’t just a rare moment — it was historic."
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This fold has become one of the most iconic folds ever caught on TV, because it broke every conventional rule — and yet it was the only way to avoid a total bust-out.
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It shows that poker isn’t just math — it’s psychology, timing, intuition, and deep player knowledge.
🔚 Conclusion
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Fishman folding AA pre-flop was mathematically shocking, but factually correct.
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Laak flopping quads makes this an extremely rare situation (odds of quads vs AA on flop = approx 0.25%).
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This hand is a masterclass in folding strong hands when your read tells you something is off.
📽️ No wonder this hand lives on as poker folklore — a legendary read that saved Fishman thousands, maybe everything.
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