She must have pocket 7s to make a move like that!

 

✅ Known Info

• Selbst: A♠ A♦ (top set on the flop, full house on the turn)

• Baumann: Unknown hole cards, but she raises on the river

• Board: A♣ 7♣ 5♣ — 7♠ — 4♦

• Pot: 66,975

• Baumann raises to 36,500 on the river

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🧠 Street-by-Street Analysis

Flop: A♣ 7♣ 5♣

• Selbst has top set of Aces.

• However, all clubs means potential flushes.

• A♠ A♦: No club redraw — vulnerable to flushes.

Turn: 7♠

• Board pairs, Selbst makes a full house (Aces full of Sevens).

• This is a monster hand now, beating any flush.

• Only hand that beats her now is quad 7s (pocket 7s).

River: 4♦

• No further flush or straight possibilities change the strength of Selbst’s hand.

• Board is now: A♣ 7♣ 5♣ 7♠ 4♦

• Selbst still holds Aces full of Sevens.

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🤔 What Can Baumann Have to Raise the River?

Raising on the river into a strong line signals polarized strength:

• Value hands that beat Selbst:

  • Quad 7s (7♠7♥ / 7♦7♣) — extremely rare but possible.

• Bluffs (repping quads or flush):

  • Missed club draw with one big club.

  • Overplaying a worse full house (e.g., 5♠5♥ = Fives full of Sevens).

  • Turning two pair (e.g., 7♣5♣) into a bluff after missing club draw.

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🟢 Selbst’s Situation

She has:

• The second nuts (only quads beat her).

• No club blocker, so bluff catchers with a club aren’t in her range.

The big question: Would Baumann bluff here? Or only raise with quads?

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🔍 Conclusion

• Selbst has a massive hand — Aces full of Sevens.

• Baumann’s raise is super suspicious — she's repping exactly pocket 7s.

• The Vietnamese caption hints at this: “She must have pocket 7s to pull this off.”

• Most likely scenarios:

  • Baumann has 77 (quads) — then Selbst is crushed.

  • Or Baumann is bluffing, thinking she can represent quads or flush.

If Baumann is a capable bluffer, Selbst might still call — but it's a brutal spot.

💬 Verdict: Selbst likely calls unless she gives Baumann credit for quads. But it’s a painful, high-level decision.

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