Let's break it down in detail:
1. Hand Analysis
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Player Kagawa: All-in with K♦ Q♦ (King-Queen suited in diamonds).
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Player Bonomo: Calls with J♥ J♠ (Pocket Jacks - hearts and spades).
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Player Reinkemeier: All-in with J♦ J♣ (Pocket Jacks - diamonds and clubs).
2. Win Probability
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Kagawa has a 51% chance of winning: The King-Queen suited gives him the best equity due to its potential to form a straight or a flush.
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Bonomo & Reinkemeier each have just 1% chance: Since both hold pocket Jacks, they are splitting each other’s outs, drastically reducing their chances of improving.
3. Pot and Side Pot
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Main pot: 2,025,000 chips.
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Side pot: 1,840,000 chips (created between Bonomo and Reinkemeier, as they have more chips than Kagawa).
4. Conclusion
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Kagawa is in a dominant position to win the hand. Unless the community cards bring a miracle for the Jacks, he is highly favored.
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The two players with Jacks are in deep trouble, with only a 1% chance of survival—indicating that the board might have already made their hands nearly dead.
Check the actual game
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